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October 2nd, 2019
We recently launched the Express Entry Roadmap, a free tool designed to inform you about your Express Entry process. Empower yourself to make the best decision about your immigration. Learn more about the Express Entry Roadmap.
Express Entry draw figures for October 2 are below.
The October 2 Express Entry draw for immigration to Canada has resulted in 3,900 candidates being issued an Invitation to Apply (ITA). The Comprehensive Ranking System (CRS) score cut-off threshold was 464.
In the previous draw, which occurred on September 18, the CRS score cut-off threshold was 462 points.
The tie-breaking rule was applied for the October 2 draw, meaning that not all candidates with 464 points will receive an ITA. As multiple candidates have 464 points, those who submitted their Express Entry profile to the pool before September 20, 2019 at 15:05:04 UTC will be prioritized.
The record low Express Entry cut-off threshold ever for an all-program draw is 413.
Why has the CRS score cut-off been in the 450s and 460s recently?
Those who follow Express Entry closely know that since June the CRS score cut-off has ranged between 457 and 465, a relatively small range. In order for the cut-off score to maintain this kind of stability, it suggests that the net input of candidates with CRS scores within that range or higher, must be approximately equal to the number of ITAs issued each round.
This means that approximately every two weeks, about 3,500 – 4,000 Express Entry candidates are reaching CRS scores within or above the 457-465 range. This would include new candidates who create their Express Entry profile for the first time, as well as existing Express Entry candidates who take proactive measures to improve their CRS score.
Those with scores below that range can remain optimistic as we enter the final quarter for 2019. In 2018, the last few months of the year resulted in the lowest CRS score cut-off for Express Entry (a cut-off of 439 points in December, 2018). However, there is no guarantee that 2019 will follow the same trend. Notably, in September, 2018, the CRS score cut-off was in the low 440s.
Another possibility is that global interest in Express Entry has spiked. An overall increase in competitive Express Entry candidates could result in the cut-off score remaining higher for a longer period.
There are a range of factors that may influence the CRS cut-off score, including:
- The number of candidates invited;
- The frequency of draws;
- The number of new candidates entering the pool; and
- Changes in the CRS scores of existing candidates, whose scores may increase or decrease depending on their circumstances.
As of September 27, there were a total of 123,423 candidates in the Express Entry pool. The graph below shows their distribution according to their CRS score at that time.
The latest Express Entry Draw video, plus the Municipal Nominee Program
Moving2Canada’s Editor, Hugo, and Content Developer, Dane, bring you the latest Express Entry Draw info from downtown Montreal, plus get the latest on a newly proposed immigration pathway: the Municipal Nominee Program.
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