Canada’s Express Entry system is a key pathway for skilled workers looking to gain permanent residency in Canada. For many, waiting for the next Express Entry draw to happen is agonizing, since it could represent a new start or a longer timeline for immigration, depending on whether they receive an invitation in the round.
This page shares our predictions about when the next express entry draw will happen and shares insights about what factors influence draw dates. If you want to learn more about the latest Express Entry draw, check out our extremely popular Express Entry Draw Results webpage.
Express Entry Draw Prediction
Date: The Week of 1 July
Type of Draw: General
CRS Prediction: 550+
Predicted Express Entry Draw Schedule For 2024
We hope that IRCC will return to its draw schedule of every two weeks in the near future. We will update the schedule once IRCC resumes more regular draws.
How To Predict The Next Express Entry Draw
It’s not possible to know exactly when the next Express Entry draw will happen. Immigration, Refugees and Citizenship Canada (IRCC) has complete discretion regarding Express Entry draws. They could, in theory, complete just one draw every year or complete tiny draws every day.
However, IRCC tends to try to complete draws on a regular schedule. It does this to increase confidence in the Express Entry system, and to allow them to manage application volumes internally. So, generally speaking, there is a strain on internal resources any time that the draw schedule moves away from the bi-weekly schedule. As a result, it’s likely that IRCC will conduct a draw every two weeks.
Then, you can also look to historical data and learn what we know about where ITAs are going in 2024 to predict whether draws will be general or category-based – and which category they might be.
So, while we do our best to consider historical data to predict the Express Entry draws via this page, we are all at the mercy of IRCC’s discretion.
What Factors Influence When The Next Express Entry Draw Will Happen?
The schedule of Express Entry draws is influenced by a range of factors. Understanding these can help you guess when the next draw might happen.
Government Policies and Immigration Targets
The Canadian government’s immigration policies and annual targets play a significant role in determining the frequency, size, and type of Express Entry draws.
Economic Needs and Labor Market Demands
Canada’s economic needs and labor market demands are also critical factors. The government may adjust the draw schedule based on the current economic climate and the demand for specific skills in the labor market.
Historical Trends and Administrative Considerations
Looking at historical trends can provide insights into the timing of draws. Typically, draws are held approximately every two weeks. However, this can vary due to administrative considerations, such as processing backlogs or policy changes. Monitoring the patterns over the past months or years can help predict future draws, though these are always subject to change.
Staying informed about immigration in Canada can help you prepare for your Express Entry journey. A free Moving2Canada account can help. You’ll receive free access to our newsletters, immigration checklists, and a host of other settlement resources — all tailored to your immigration journey. Sign up here.
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