Express Entry Next Draw Prediction: Insights & What to Expect

Express Entry next draw prediction in November 2025

Draws are currently challenging to predict due to inconsistent draw patterns from IRCC in 2025.

Date of the next Express Entry draw

Predicted date: November 13, 2025 

Type of Draw: Trades or French-Proficiency Category

CRS Prediction: 430+

• Learn more about the latest Express Entry draw here

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Next Express Entry Draw: Predictions by Category

Given the volatility we’ve seen in Express Entry Draws, it is hard to predict the exact schedule for 2025. But we do estimate the following draws, based on past trends: 

• Category-Based Express Entry Draws
  • November 13:  Trades or French-Proficiency
  • December 10: Trades or French-Proficiency
• Provincial Nominee Program
  • November 24
  • December 8
  • December 15
• Canadian Experience Class: 
  • December 9

Categories where further draws are expected and why

• Provincial Nominee Program Draws: So far, IRCC has issued only 7,885 invitations to apply for the Provincial Nominee Program Category.
  Provinces have recently been given the option to gain back some PNP spots lost in the 2025 allocations, on the condition that they accept more refugees. To date, Newfoundland and Labrador is the only province to take advantage of this, but we expect other provinces to be in talks with the federal government to regain reduced PNP spots. You can read more about this here.
• Canadian Experience Class Draws: So far, we have seen 22,850 invitations issued in 2025, with an average score of 531. We expect a couple more CEC draws this year.
• Trades: According to the ATIP data, IRCC plans to issue about 3,300 ITAs under the trades category for 2025. So far, around 1,250 ITAs have been issued, leaving room for one potential additional trade draw before the end of the year.  Read more here.
• French-Proficiency: While the ATIP data does not specify a fixed number of ITAs for French-proficiency candidates, IRCC continues to prioritize this category to help meet its 8.5% Francophone admissions target outside Quebec. Given rising refusal rates among applicants in this stream, we expect several more French-proficiency draws in the coming months to help IRCC stay on track toward its annual goal.

Category where no further draws are expected

• Education: According to an Access to Information and Personal Information (ATIP) request made by RCIC Mandeep Lidher, IRCC’s internal planning data indicates a total of 3,000 ITAs were allocated to the education category in 2025. As this allocation has already been exhausted, no further education-based draws are expected for the remainder of the year.
• Healthcare: IRCC’s target for this category is 8,000 Invitations to Apply (ITAs) in 2025. With approximately 9,500 ITAs already issued, we do not expect more draws during 2025.

How Does Moving2Canada Predict the Next Express Entry Draws?

It’s impossible to know exactly when the next Express Entry draw will happen. Immigration, Refugees and Citizenship Canada (IRCC) has full discretion over the timing and type of draws, they could, in theory, hold one large draw a year or several smaller ones each week.

That said, IRCC usually aims to maintain a consistent schedule. This regularity helps build trust in the Express Entry system and allows IRCC to better manage application volumes.

At Moving2Canada, our team carefully tracks Express Entry trends, including changes in CRS scores, shifts in the candidate pool, and new immigration data and announcements from IRCC. We stay informed about the latest policy updates, draw patterns, and released government data so we can provide the most accurate and up-to-date predictions possible.

Also, our category-based draw estimates are based on data obtained through an Access to Information and Personal Information (ATIP) request made by RCIC Mandeep Lidher. In response to that request, IRCC shared its plans for the number of Invitations to Apply (ITAs) to be issued per category in 2025. These figures give us valuable insight into which categories may still see draws this year — and which ones may not.

Predicting the type of upcoming draws for the rest of 2025 is still challenging, but recent patterns and IRCC communications provide strong hints. We expect a continued focus on PNP and Canadian Experience Class (CEC) draws, aligning with IRCC’s commitment to help more temporary residents become permanent residents. IRCC will continue to prioritize Francophone immigration outside Quebec, so we expect to see more French-proficiency draws throughout the rest of 2025 as part of that effort.

What Factors Influence When The Next Express Entry Draw Will Happen?

The schedule of Express Entry draws is influenced by a range of factors. Understanding these can help you guess when the next draw might happen.

Government Policies and Immigration Targets

The Canadian government’s immigration policies and annual targets play a significant role in determining the frequency, size, and type of Express Entry draws. 

Economic Needs and Labor Market Demands 

Canada’s economic needs and labor market demands are also critical factors. The government may adjust the draw schedule based on the current economic climate and the demand for specific skills in the labor market. 

Historical Trends and Administrative Considerations

Looking at historical trends can provide insights into the timing of draws. Typically, draws are held approximately every two weeks. However, this can vary due to administrative considerations, such as processing backlogs or policy changes. Monitoring the patterns over the past months or years can help predict future draws, though these are always subject to change.

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