Express Entry Next Draw Prediction: Insights & What to Expect

Express Entry Next Draw Prediction – December 2025

Date of the next Express Entry draw

• Next Draw date: December 8, 2025 
• Type of Draw: Provincial Nominee Program
• CRS Prediction: 730+
• Learn more about the latest Express Entry draw here

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Next Express Entry Draw: Predictions by Category

Given the volatility we’ve seen in Express Entry Draws, it is hard to predict the exact schedule for 2025. But we do estimate the following draws, based on past trends: 

• Provincial Nominee Program
  • December 9
  • December 15
• Canadian Experience Class: 
  • December 10
  • December 16
• Category-Based Express Entry Draws
  • December 11: Trades or French-Proficiency
  • December 17: Trades or French-Proficiency

Categories where further draws are expected and why

• Provincial Nominee Program Draws: So far, IRCC has issued 9,480 invitations to apply for the Provincial Nominee Program Category.
  Provinces have recently been given the option to gain back some PNP spots lost in the 2025 allocations, on the condition that they accept more refugees. To date, Newfoundland and Labrador is the only province to take advantage of this, but we expect other provinces to be in talks with the federal government to regain reduced PNP spots. You can read more about this here.
• Canadian Experience Class Draws: So far, we have seen 24,850 invitations issued in 2025, with an average minimum score of 531 to be invited. We expect a couple more CEC draws before the end of the year.
• Trades: According to the ATIP data, IRCC plans to issue about 3,300 ITAs under the trades category for 2025. So far, 1,250 ITAs have been issued, leaving room for one potential additional trade draw before the end of the year.  Read more here.
• French-Proficiency: So far we have seen 42,00 invitations issued. While the ATIP data does not specify a fixed number of ITAs for French-proficiency candidates, IRCC continues to prioritize this category to help meet its 8.5% Francophone admissions target outside Quebec. Given rising refusal rates among applicants in this stream, we expect several more French-proficiency draws in the coming months to help IRCC stay on track toward its annual goal.

Category where no further draws are expected

• Education: According to an Access to Information and Personal Information (ATIP) request made by RCIC Mandeep Lidher, IRCC’s internal planning data indicates a total of 3,000 ITAs were allocated to the education category in 2025. As this allocation has already been exhausted, no further education-based draws are expected for the remainder of the year.
• Healthcare: IRCC’s target for this category is 8,000 Invitations to Apply (ITAs) in 2025. With 13,000 ITAs already issued, we do not expect more draws during 2025.

Get Ready for the Next EE Draw: Prepare for Your ITA

While waiting in the pool, make sure you prepare for receiving your Invitation to Apply (ITA). We have written two articles: one about what to expect and how long you could wait in the pool, and a second one on how to be prepared in case you receive an ITA, which includes a full list of necessary documents. Don’t wait for that moment; these steps could take a lot of time, and you may run out of time!

How Does Moving2Canada Predict the Next EE Draw

Predicting Express Entry draws is never exact, but at Moving2Canada, we use the best available data to make informed, reliable estimates. Our team monitors the system closely so newcomers can better understand what may be coming next.

How we do it:

• Track CRS score movements, candidate pool changes, and all IRCC announcements in real time.
• Analyze historical draw patterns to understand IRCC’s usual scheduling habits.
• Review newly released immigration data and policy updates to spot emerging trends.
• Use category-based draw plans disclosed through an ATIP request by RCIC Mandeep Lidher, including IRCC’s projected ITA totals per category for 2025.
• Combine all data sources to anticipate likely draw types—especially PNP, CEC, and French-proficiency draws based on IRCC’s stated priorities.

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What Factors Influence The Next Express Entry Draw Date?

The schedule of Express Entry draws is influenced by a range of factors. Understanding these can help you guess when the next draw might happen.

Government Policies and Immigration Targets

The Canadian government’s immigration policies and annual targets play a significant role in determining the frequency, size, and type of Express Entry draws. 

Economic Needs and Labor Market Demands 

Canada’s economic needs and labor market demands are also critical factors. The government may adjust the draw schedule based on the current economic climate and the demand for specific skills in the labor market. 

Historical Trends and Administrative Considerations

Looking at historical trends can provide insights into the timing of draws. Typically, draws are held approximately every two weeks. However, this can vary due to administrative considerations, such as processing backlogs or policy changes. Monitoring the patterns over the past months or years can help predict future draws, though these are always subject to change.

Want to keep updated on the Express Entry Next Draw Prediction?

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