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Immigration
By Rebecca Major
Posted on October 14, 2025
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Today’s PNP-specific Express Entry draw issued 345 invitations with a CRS cut-off of 778. This marks the largest PNP-specific Express Entry draw since July 2025, although the CRS score remains comparable.
For context, the last two draws in September were smaller and highly selective — 291 ITAs with a 855 CRS cut-off on September 29, and 228 ITAs with a 746 CRS score on September 15. Compared to those, today’s draw stands out for its higher invitation count. If this pattern continues, we could see more robust draw sizes in the coming weeks as we come off a busy September for PNP activity.
However, while today’s draw points to a modest rebound, we’re still well below the typical PNP volumes seen in previous years. Around this time last year, IRCC issued 1,613 invitations on October 7, 2024, and 648 invitations on October 21, 2024, both significantly higher than what we’re seeing in 2025.
Here is how the PNP-specific draw sizes have looked over the last 12 months:
And zooming out a little more, there is how they have looked over the last 5 years:
This trend is expected, given the reduction in Provincial Nominee Program quotas for 2025. The 2026 allocation targets are expected to be released in the coming months, and once that information is available, we’ll have a clearer sense of how PNP draw sizes might evolve next year.
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The PNP route may remain a smart and strategic pathway to permanent residence in 2025, but whether it’s the right choice for you depends heavily on your individual profile. Unlike past years, PNPs are now for the few, not for the many.
Competition to secure a provincial nomination has become increasingly steep. Provinces have limited nomination allocations, and many have stricter selection criteria, prioritizing candidates with specific work experience, in-demand occupations, strong language skills, or existing ties to the province.
This means that even highly qualified candidates may find themselves ineligible for certain provincial streams or facing long waits in expression of interest (EOI) pools.
In short, while a provincial nomination can be a powerful tool for boosting your CRS score and securing an ITA, it’s important to understand the individual requirements of each province, stay alert to program openings, especially as provinces continue to refine their immigration priorities throughout 2025.
If you’re not familiar with Canada’s Express Entry system, it’s an application management system used to manage economic immigrants to Canada. The benefits of the Express Entry system are that it offers streamlined application timelines for people who are ranked highly and invited to apply for permanent residence. After you receive an invitation and submit your application, it usually takes IRCC around 6 months to make a decision.
With that in mind, the Provincial Nominee Program is a program that’s offered at the provincial level but then managed and approved at the federal level. Some PNPs require you to be eligible for Express Entry, so they can be inter-related, but there are also PNPs that allow you to immigrate even if you don’t qualify for Express Entry.
Learn more about Canada’s PNPs via our PNP Tracker, which comes with a range of tools, including a stream finder.
Canada Abroad is a transparent Canadian immigration consultancy with advice you can trust. Led by Deanne Acres-Lans (RCIC #508363), the team delivers professional, regulated, and efficient service.
Led by Anthony Doherty (RCIC #510956) and Cassandra Fultz (#514356), the Doherty Fultz team uses their 40+ years of experience to empower you towards settling in Canada.
Led by Jenny Perez (RCIC #423103), Perez McKenzie Immigration is a Canadian immigration consultancy based in British Columbia, with offices in Vancouver and Whistler.
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