Express Entry Draw 322: 733 PNP Candidates Issued Invitations on November 12, 2024

Key Takeaways for Express Entry Candidates

• Type of draw: Provincial Nominee Program
• Invitations issued: 733
• CRS score: 812
• Tie-breaking rule: March 02 2024 at 01:58:34 UTC
• Prediction for the next draw: Canadian Experience Class on November 13, 2024.
• Learn more about the changes proposed for the 2025 Express Entry categories.
• New to the excitement of Express Entry draws? Check out our guide to Express Entry.

Our Analysis of This Express Entry Draw

While the trend of bi-weekly PNP draws was broken with the skipped week last week, we believe this was due to IRCC anticipating high volumes of traffic due to the US election. Canada’s immigration website famously crashed due to high traffic following the 2016 election results, and IRCC may have been taking steps to avoid this situation again by pushing draws back one week.

Additionally, while PNP draws have been taking place on Mondays for the most part in recent months, Monday was a federal holiday — Remembrance Day — in Canada. So IRCC was unlikely to publish any draws on 11 November.

All that to say, we’re unsurprised to see the return of a PNP draw today. And, unfortunately, we’re also not surprised to see that it’s a relatively small draw with a high CRS of 812, given that Canada plans to massively decrease its PNP allocation for 2025.

With that said, today’s draw brings the total number of Express Entry PNP draws in 2024 to 11, with 13,548 invitations issued in those draws.

Per month, this is broken down as follows:

• May: 2,985
• June: 1,499
• July: 3,275
• August: 1,884
• September: 911
• October: 2,261
• November: 733

From January to April, IRCC invited PNP applicants through general draws. We do not have the exact number of provincial nominees invited during these rounds.

What Does 2025 Hold for PNP Express Entry Draws?

Today’s draw marks the first Express Entry draw since the release of the 2025–2027 immigration levels plan. With this announcement, Canada revealed its intent to cut PNP (Provincial Nominee Program) targets by over 50%, reducing planned admissions from 120,000 in 2025 to 55,000.

As a result, we can expect fewer invitations in each PNP Express Entry draw in 2025, though the frequency of these draws will likely remain similar to 2024.

While this news may seem disappointing for PNP candidates, there is a positive note: the immigration levels plan includes a special allocation of 82,980 spots for applicants already in Canada. We expect that a significant portion of these admissions will go to in-Canada applicants who might have otherwise applied through a PNP. For more details on the 2025 PNP targets, you can read our in-depth analysis here.

For more information:

• Learn more about the latest Express Entry draws.
• Learn more about the state of the Express Entry pool.
• Learn when to expect the next Express Entry draw.

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