If recent Express Entry patterns continue, Immigration, Refugees and Citizenship Canada (IRCC) could hold a Canadian Experience Class (CEC) draw on Tuesday, May 26.
Throughout much of 2026, IRCC has followed a relatively predictable rhythm for CEC draws, often holding them every second Tuesday. But – recent weeks have introduced some uncertainty into that pattern. Earlier this month, IRCC unexpectedly skipped what many candidates believed would be a scheduled CEC draw.
Now, many candidates in the Express Entry pool are asking the same question again: will there be a CEC draw this week on May 26th?
The short answer is: possibly. A draw this week would align with IRCC’s recent pattern. But recent Express Entry activity also suggests that draw schedules may be becoming less predictable heading into summer.
What you'll find on this page
Why Many Candidates Expect a CEC Draw This Week
Since the beginning of 2026, IRCC has conducted CEC-specific draws fairly consistently throughout the year. Aside from one interruption in February and another on May 12th, the department has held consistent CEC draws every second Tuesday.
So far in 2026, IRCC has already issued 34,250 invitations to apply (ITAs) through CEC draws alone. That is dramatically higher than the same period in 2025, when only 9,850 CEC invitations had been issued by mid-May.
CRS score cut-offs have also remained relatively stable throughout the year. All CEC draws in 2026 have had cut-offs between 507 and 515 points. Regular draws have helped prevent too many high-scoring candidates from accumulating at the top of the Express Entry pool.
Because of that recent consistency, many candidates still expect IRCC to return to its previous draw rhythm this week.
Why the Next Draw is Harder to Predict
At the same time, there are several reasons why recent Express Entry activity has become more difficult to predict.
First, 2026 has already been an unusually active year for Express Entry invitations overall. By mid-May, IRCC had already issued more than 72,000 ITAs across all Express Entry draws. That represents one of the fastest invitation paces since the system launched in 2015.
Canada’s 2026 federal high-skilled admissions target is set at 109,000 permanent residents. Importantly, those admissions targets include not just principal applicants, but also accompanying spouses, partners, and dependent children. Notably, however, this target doesn’t include PNP admissions – and PNPs have accounted for about 4,000 of the year’s ITAs.
At the same time, processing inventories remain large. IRCC is currently managing tens of thousands of high-skilled immigration applications already in processing.
Recent CEC draws have also become smaller. While the first CEC draw of January issued 8,000 invitations, the two most recent CEC draws issued only 2,000 invitations each.
None of this guarantees that Express Entry draws are slowing down. IRCC’s draw strategy can change quickly based on labour market needs, processing capacity, and political priorities. But the data may help explain why draw timing has recently become less predictable.
What Candidates Should Watch This Week
If a CEC draw does happen this week, candidates will likely pay close attention to three things:
- The number of invitations issued
- The CRS score cut-off
- Whether IRCC appears to be returning to a more regular draw rhythm (i.e. does IRCC also conduct a PNP draw and a category-based draw?)
One of the biggest factors affecting future CRS cut-offs is the growing number of high-scoring candidates in the Express Entry pool.
The latest pool update (May 10) showed 15,659 candidates with CRS scores between 501 and 600, up from 13,860 candidates just two weeks earlier. That figure is likely to climb even higher when the new pool composition data is released this week. If draws continue to be smaller and less frequent, that growing concentration of candidates will place upward pressure on future CRS cut-offs.
Most Express Entry draws typically take place on Tuesdays or Wednesdays, usually later in the morning or during the afternoon Eastern Time. If no draw occurs this week, some candidates may become increasingly concerned about the possibility of slower CEC invitation rounds heading into the summer months.
For now, a CEC draw this week would still align with IRCC’s broader 2026 pattern. But recent weeks have shown that Express Entry schedules are far from guaranteed.
As always, Express Entry candidates should prepare for a range of possibilities and avoid assuming that recent draw patterns will continue indefinitely.
The Moving2Canada team will update this article if a CEC draw takes place this week.
About the author
Dane Stewart
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