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Express Entry
By Freya Devlin
Posted on January 21, 2026
The in-depth coverage of this Express Entry draw is made possible by the support of Scotiabank. The views, opinions, and information expressed in this piece are those of Moving2Canada and do not reflect those of Scotiabank. Scotiabank is not responsible for the content, accuracy, or any representations made herein.
Type of draw: Canadian Experience Class (CEC)
Invitations issued: 6,000
Minimum CRS score: 509
Tie-breaking rule: October 29, 2025 at 04:35:24 UTC
Prediction for next draw: We may see a category-based draw on January 22 or January 23, otherwise PNP on 2 or 3 February.
Get results as they happen – plus expert insights on what it means for your chances, straight to your inbox.
Today’s draw was for Canadian Experience Class (CEC) candidates only. IRCC issued 6,000 invitations, with a minimum CRS score of 509. This draw makes January 2026 a record-breaking month for invitations issued through Canada’s Express Entry system.
This continues the run of large CEC draws we’ve been seeing lately. The last CEC draw, on January 8, 2026, invited 8,000 candidates with a CRS cut-off of 511 – so while today’s round was smaller, it’s still firmly in that “big draw” territory. Compared to that draw, today’s round invited 2,000 fewer candidates, and the CRS cut-off is slightly lower, dropping two points from 511 to 509. This is a clue as to how high competition is in the Express Entry pool at the moment.
Even with 6,000 invitations, the cut-off only moved two points, which suggests a lot of candidates are packed into that same score band. After today’s draw, there are likely around 11,000 candidates still in the pool at the 501–600 range. Many of those candidates will sit between 501-509. Then, there are also large clusters just below that, including 13,278 candidates in 491–500 and 12,942 in 481–490.
With that kind of concentration around the low 500s – and more joining the pool at the range every day or almost every day, even another draw this size may only nudge the CRS cut-off down slightly.
In other words, every CRS point you can earn counts, folks.
So far, large CEC draws seem to be the trend for 2026, like the 8,000-ITA draw on January 7. If we look back a little further, these large CEC draws are not limited to January. IRCC ran two sizable CEC draws in December 2025 too. These seem to have set the tone for the new year and left many candidates hopeful that bigger rounds would continue and help pull CRS scores down over time.
Because of that, the recent CEC draws may not feel like a one-off. Instead, it looks more like a continuation of a trend that began at the end of 2025 – making this stretch feel very different from most of 2025, when CEC draws were smaller for most of the year.
If draws stay this large, cut-offs would likely gradually come down over time, but today’s result shows how slow that movement can be right now. Even with 6,000 invitations, the CRS cut-off only dropped two points, which speaks to just how crowded the pool is at the low-500s.
That said, it’s tough to say if this pace can last. In our deeper breakdown on whether large CEC draws will become the norm in 2026, we explain why this run of high-volume rounds may be hard to sustain for long, even if more big draws are still in the pipeline.
If you’re eligible for CEC, this is a good time to make sure your Express Entry profile is rock-solid and up to date. Small details matter here, especially your work history dates, job duties, and language results.
And when cut-offs are moving this slowly, a one- or two-point difference can make all the difference. If your CRS score is close to the cut-off, even small upgrades can help – like retaking a language test, adding another credential, or updating your work experience if you’ve hit a new milestone.
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