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By Stephanie Ford
Posted on June 27, 2024
Updated on July 10, 2024
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The changes to the international student program in Canada that were announced this year are likely to have lasting impacts on the source countries for international students in Canada. We’re already seeing a significant reduction in the number of international students applying from India, as well as impacts on students from Nepal and the Philippines.
First, with the good news: we saw significant increases in study permit processing between January – April 30, 2024 for international students from these countries:
Unfortunately, processing for students has decreased significantly for the following countries:
There are a range of factors that may have influenced the decreases in processing rates including reduced interest in studying in Canada as a result of the changes, political reasons (such as Russia’s war in Ukraine), and generalized drops due to the international student cap.
One trend is particularly noteworthy: study permits issued to Indian students fell off a cliff in 2024. Here’s what the data tells us:
In 2023, IRCC processed:
In 2024, IRCC processed:
The decrease in the number of study permit applications processed for international students from India is huge. There are a range of reasons likely contributing to this, including decreased interest from Indian students caused by political tension between Canada and India.
Processing rates for Nigerian and Filipino students look around the same in 2024 as they did for 2023, but that was due to very strong processing in January and February. The number of study permits processed for Nigerian and Filipino students significantly decreased in March and April. We need to wait for further data from IRCC to draw any conclusions about what this means for these students in 2024.
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As we hinted above, IRCC has planned significant changes to the study permit programs. The planned changes, outlined in the IRCC Deputy Minister Transitional Binder, are as follows:
IRCC plans to introduce a pilot program to introduce the number of French-speaking international students studying in Canada, specifically in Francophone Minority Communities.
IRCC’s plans to increase the number of French-speaking students include to:
IRCC aims to announce this program in Fall of 2024, though this timeline may change.
In October 2023, we announced IRCC’s plans to introduce a Recognized Institutions Framework (RIF), which would rank post-secondary educators into tiers. These tiers would be based on the recruitment standards and supports for international students (including housing), as well as post-graduate outcomes.
The RIF was originally supposed to be introduced in time for the Fall 2024 academic year.
Due to the significant changes in this year’s study permit program, specifically the international student cap, IRCC now plans to delay the RIF until 2025. It will likely become available first to public universities and colleges with more than 50 study permit approvals per year for the last three years. It will then roll out to private institutions at a later date.
IRCC still intends to offer students applying to higher ranked educational institutions with faster processing times.
Trends in IRCC data show that some regions face higher refusal rates for study permits than others. Students from Africa in particular face significant barriers to study permit approval.
MPower Financing, a provider of student loans and funding, released a special report in June 2024 highlighting the disparities in study permit approvals:
“Over the six year period from 2018 to 2023, African students systematically received study permit approvals at rates substantially lower than their classmates from other countries (27% for African students versus 74% for students from other nations on average over the six-year period). This difference persisted when comparing across educational levels and controlling for non-SDS study permit applications. In addition, students from Francophone African nations were accepted at even lower rates when compared with students from nonFrancophone African nations (22% versus 29% on average over the six-year period).”
To summarize:
IRCC plans to introduce an Equitable Access pilot to reduce barriers for students from Africa and other underrepresented regions.
Very little else has been published about the proposed pilot or how IRCC plans to reduce the barriers for African students. However, IRCC did note that it intends to introduce the pilot in Fall of 2024, so hopefully we will know more soon.
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